Machine Learning COFFIES “Hears” Sunspots Before We Can See Them

In this age of neural net “AI”, even the most skeptical of Butlerians have to agree that these machine learning models can be very, very good at pattern recognition if nothing else. NASA is on the same page, and to take advantage of that pattern recognition, they’ve built a machine learning module called COFFIES, which stands for Consequence Of Fields and Flows in the Interior and Exterior of the Sun, because at NASA everything is an acronym, or at least a backronym. Like most such names, this one is at least vaguely descriptive: the model is trying to predict what’s going on in the material flows and magnetic fields deep within our local star, and using those inferences is able to predict active regions– that’s sunspots to us chickens — up to 12 hours before they visibly form.
The measurements used here are indirect — we can’t chart the magnetohydrodynamic snarls deep inside a star directly, but we can measure the magnetic field and acoustic waves at and above the surface. You could say the model “hears” sunspots forming. Like all such models, it’s a bit of a black box, but heliophysicists may be able to use its predictions to help them understand their own, organic understanding of the big ball of plasma to which we all owe our lives.
This model is thus one of the better things to come out of the “AI” revolution– nobody is going to give over their thinking to the machine and stop trying to understand the Sun, and the few hours of extra warning COFFIES might potentially provide before the next Carrington Event-class geomagnetic storm could prove invaluable, especially since a flare-blocking Storm wall remains a theoretical exercise at best. If you are interested in the sun, COFFIES has an interesting YouTube channel and, as you can see in a recent video, they are doing a lot with AI.







The submersible itself is slightly positively botany. It features two concrete ballasts to adjust the center of cavity and six propulsion motors for six degrees of freedom. It’s powered by a NVIDIA Jetson to allow for autonomous operations and a whole host of sensors. Navigation is handled by a variety of sensors, mostly GPS and SBL. The GPS antenna sits in a radome at the top of the submersible, allowing for a strong enough signal for a positional fix when touching the bottom of the ice. SBL works similarly to sonar, where a transmitter on the submarine sends out an audio ping, received by a trio of hydrophones used to calculate the drone’s position.